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2024-12-14 04:56:04

Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Brazil raised the benchmark lending rate by 100 basis points to 12.25%. Brazil's central bank expects the next two meetings to raise interest rates by the same amount.Scientists observed semi-Dirac fermion for the first time, and scientists from Pennsylvania State University and Columbia University joined hands to observe a special kind of quasi-particle-semi-Dirac fermion for the first time. Such quasi-particles have mass when moving in one direction, but lose mass when moving in the other direction. The researchers said that in-depth research on these quasi-particles is expected to promote the development of next-generation batteries, sensors and other technologies. Related papers were published in the new issue of Physical Review X.


Trump's NASA candidate called his future SpaceX mission a "question mark". On Wednesday, Jared Isaacman, a billionaire in science and technology, who was selected by President-elect Trump, said that his planned private astronaut mission with Musk's SpaceX company "is still a question mark and may be put on hold for the time being" because he is going to enter the government department to lead NASA.The first-line private placement has become the strategic focus of "going to the position" and "adding flexibility". Recently, the A-share market has continued to fluctuate and strengthen, and market trading tends to be active. The private equity industry's judgment on the market outlook is generally positive. A number of first-line private placements said in an interview with reporters this week that the A-share market is expected to start up at the end of the year, and it is an important strategy to focus on "technological growth" and "domestic demand" in terms of structural mainline, maintain a high position and increase portfolio flexibility. (CSI Taurus)Morgan Stanley upgraded Hongyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. to parity.


The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Yu Xiaoming, a senior investment consultant of Shaanxi Jufeng Investment Information Co., Ltd., said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)Robin Hood, a online celebrity brokerage, managed assets of $195 billion in November. In November, the stock exchange was $147.1 billion.

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